Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 105.923288 122.178462 141.501365 166.576117 198.892879 240.093246 2.982695e+02
2024-10-27 82.680810 101.693643 126.735826 163.489750 218.705613 303.818776 4.582335e+02
2024-11-03 74.400733 95.716242 125.953007 174.767863 258.206570 411.946465 7.795563e+02
2024-11-10 71.904494 96.457536 133.849454 200.346320 331.333480 632.175419 1.725338e+03
2024-11-17 64.942481 89.190116 127.653264 200.155043 356.640629 777.790239 3.018835e+03
2024-11-24 59.131070 82.704017 121.316778 197.627740 375.708482 931.415934 5.592468e+03
2024-12-01 54.115641 76.773325 114.838479 193.003856 387.831463 1084.053101 1.130765e+04
2024-12-08 50.507828 72.676060 110.878901 192.479509 410.726301 1324.086357 3.837526e+04
2024-12-15 47.603486 69.405945 107.889246 193.268131 438.358996 1659.638390 1.144534e+06
2024-12-22 44.087786 64.743153 101.684087 185.396610 435.713416 1827.173249 NaN
2024-12-29 42.802106 63.807525 102.432347 194.051622 494.224456 2687.524036 NaN
2025-01-05 40.091570 60.109278 97.311517 187.143963 492.564263 3019.973651 NaN
2025-01-12 38.437570 58.427139 96.547521 192.740154 552.369624 4850.136225 NaN
2025-01-19 36.084834 55.305783 92.537820 189.084828 572.948994 6690.234343 NaN
2025-01-26 35.376964 55.134699 94.649090 203.138358 697.609787 19741.550066 NaN
2025-02-02 35.798666 57.127566 101.791900 235.403732 1000.239056 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 34.158518 54.932339 99.100492 235.160530 1083.447463 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.522897 52.608497 95.810773 231.949902 1141.467483 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.905395 50.200113 92.045776 226.088743 1169.117648 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.686892 48.511761 89.832318 225.425149 1257.824379 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.646905 47.111098 88.161715 226.423282 1377.847956 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 27.201546 44.782525 83.954853 216.482598 1337.842412 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.758521 44.503665 84.865788 227.415405 1643.484474 NaN NaN